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Cycling levels are increasing significantly but statistical data and stakeholder views indicate that the 10% vision, as currently measured, is unlikely to be achieved by 2020, the year marking the end of the current CAPS policy timeframe. The level of modal shift remains theoretically possible, but requires a rapid shift in resources and behaviour, with a modal shift to cycling at a speed not seen in evidence in any other country, at least when measured at a national level. This report recommends that the vision must be maintained to drive progress but additional milestones to measure success are required at a national and city level (where change can and should be more rapidly achieved).
The focus should be for cycling to be promoted as an activity for anyone, irrespective of age, gender or income with everyday utility trips being the top priority. The evidence indicates that the greatest modal shifts at a population level are most likely to be achieved by a primary focus on short journeys in urban areas. The recommended ‘cycling for all’ approach means that other types of cycling (tourism, recreation, and sport) remain relevant to achieving the modal shift ambition. Given the primary focus on short journeys, objectives for increased modal share for cycling should make explicit the expected reduction in car travel with no conversion of walking journeys to cycling journeys.
"www.cyclingscotland.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/Second-CAPS-Progress-Report-FINAL-Cycling-Scotland.pdf
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