Yeah, figures were released yesterday. I had a good look at them.
Regional tables show that Edinburgh's modal share is still lowest for driving, highest for cycling, highest for bus use. So we are rather exceptional in the Scottish context.
If you drill into the stats on current transport mode versus the previous year, they show people are switching to driving. Once driving, they don't switch back to other modes.
Reasons for switching to driving change slightly each year: in 2015 "moved home" increased in importance. A new flight to the suburbs perhaps?
Also, the stats say 97% of drivers don't change modes, they carry on driving: other transport modes are much 'softer', with more churn year on year. Cycling seems one of the 'softest' transport modes, with the highest proportion switching to driving. 9.3% of last year's cyclists now drive; 9.2% of the prior year's train users now drive; highest % of switchers in each alternative mode now drive.
This table makes depressing reading for anyone trying to encourage active travel: http://www.transport.gov.scot/report/j450918-09.htm#Table10
Carmaggedon here we come.....it all goes to show that making driving easier by building new roads encourages more driving. The only way to reverse that is to introduce measures to actively discourage driving, make it less convenient than other transport modes. At the same time investment and road space need to be reallocated from motor vehicles to active travel. I honestly can't see any of that happening in meaningful ways under an SNP government