Looks like the Scottish Government will be publishing its "roadmap" setting out how it will achieve a 20% reduction in the distance travelled by car in 2019 by 2030 this afternoon (13 January 2022).
For the record - I think the target will be missed.
So what do we reckon might be in it (I have not seen an advance copy)? Well, my bet is on lots of reiterating past policy announcements:
Workplace Parking Levy: Not in force anywhere in Scotland and only even under vague consideration by Edinburgh and Glasgow.
Low Emission Zones: Only proposed for four small city centre areas. As discussed on other threads, unlikely to reduce car travel due to applying to very few vehicles.
Record active travel investment: Expect much trumpeting of this, but no evidence it is being spent on anything that will shift the dial at present.
Bus priority measures: Expect the mythical £500m allocated for bus priority measures a few years ago at be rolled out again. No new bus lanes have been introduced in years.
Active travel freeways: A recent announcement, no-one really seems to know what these are.
Free bus travel for young people: A good thing, but evidence from elsewhere is that it has a very limited impact on car travel - can even reduce walking and cycling.
I also expect the document to bemoan lack of action by the UK Government on road pricing (as a replacement for fuel duty) by the UK Government. This despite no Scottish political party showing any support for road user charging, which has been available as a policy tool in Scotland since 2001.
I would also expect lots of waffle about investment in "de-carbonising" buses and rail, which is a good thing - but does precisely nothing to encourage modal switch from car to public transport.
I assume there will also be some kind of "new" announcement.
Have I missed anything?