Even if 'vote SNP get Tory' (Gov) is 'true' it seems very clear that, for various reasons, (Nelly's anecdote is hardy unusual), voters in Scotland 'want' to vote SNP next month - and a vast number will do so on the day.
It seems MOST unlikely that the SNP will get more than 40 seats.
BUT: around Christmas projections of 20 seats (and more) seemed 'silly' - 'post Ref euphoria, - will dissipate' etc.
I'm told there is all sorts of agonising on FB about whether people 'should' vote for Mark Lazarowicz rather than Deidre Brock.
I'm sure this is happening in quite a few seats and there will be 'surprises'.
People standing on a Labour ticket will get more scrutiny than ever before - 'do I want to vote for that person rather than that party'.
I think that is healthy.
Saying people shouldn't vote in a particular way 'because of the consequences' is actually undemocratic.
Some people will vote for the SNP, some will vote against Labour (and vice versa), it's always been like that - this time it's more noticeable!
I'm sure that there will be all sorts of unexpected consequences (some unattractive) after this election.
A significant tranche of 'the London media' will be very upset (quite a few of them Scots too!). There may or may not be 'dirty tricks' by the 'British State/Establishment'. There won't be a military coup or civil war.
I have no idea what will happen to the Labour Party (in Scotland) I just hope that there will be some humility - not just hand-wringing. No more talk of "our voters" and (I genuinely hope) the emergence of a group of credible people who can see beyond 'hating the SNP'.
The SNP will have a year with the distraction of dealing with things at Westminster - the Leader will be in Holyrood - and be devising a manifesto to accommodate the interests of all its new members (and voters).
V interesting times.
At some stage it may be noticed that the world is not entirely under the control of Holyrood or Westminster or even Brussels...