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What will be the dominant bicycle type of the next decade?

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  1. wee folding bike
    Member

    Arellcat,

    My Roadster came with mudguards.

    Posted 13 years ago #
  2. LaidBack
    Member

    The VSF T400 Rohloff equipped bikes with Son + B&M lights, rack + Magura offered great value and finish in the 'bike with a future' category. Then prices went up and these 'do-it-all' bikes became less attractive.

    Since then I've been looking at Simpel.ch
    Range from Simpel in Switzerland

    These all come with everything... some interesting gearing options too. Latest improved Wegwärts Nu-vinci gears plus roller brakes, hub lights, rack guards, internal cabling. Just reviewed in Velo Vison.

    Simpel Nuvinci

    Not sure what people think of Shimano BR-IM80 Roller Brake. Carrera Subway 8 used these as well (Half***s)
    Is a hub brake better for a 'bike of the future'?

    Wegwärts Nu-vinci reviewed in new copy of Velo Vision mag. Even basic versions of their models come with hub lights.

    I love the Simple site... in French or German only at moment.
    Has great items like
    Multiplication - Rapport total de 244%
    So you know overall gear range

    Posted 13 years ago #
  3. Arellcat
    Moderator

    So my prediction for the 2010s is mainly utility:

    * an amalgamation of folding bike thinking using cheaper multi-speed hub gears, Kevlar brake and gear cables, and either 26" or 24" wheels; and
    * much greater market penetration of the electric bicycle: motor assist, with a wiring loom for regenerative braking, lights and navigation.
    * I also think we'll see hydraulic systems adopted by road groupsets for brakes, and by the MTB/offroaders for gears.

    All in all, not too bad a prediction!

    We still like cables for gears on MTBs, whereas roadies have gone for electric derailleurs.

    Posted 1 year ago #
  4. chdot
    Admin

    Interesting question.

    A simple answer is, perhaps, "none". The last few years has demonstrated diversity.

    http://citycyclingedinburgh.info/bbpress/topic.php?id=1639#post-15945

    I’ll stick with what I wrote

    EXCEPT ignored rise of electric, cargo and, especially, both.

    Posted 1 year ago #
  5. LaidBack
    Member

    A modern 'mass' bike...
    Hub gears
    Belt drive
    Hub brakes (as they need little work)
    Hub lighting or 'solar mudguards' (© LB Technologies 2010)

    Nuvinci hub mentioned back then too - Enviolo is used on many E-cargo bikes. Many are belt drive models.
    I expected neat step through designs to outgrow recumbents although ageing population has kept recumbent trikes relevant.
    The Paper Bicycle was one good 'step through' design - sold a handful. Interestingly the Glasgow based designer Nick Lobnitz reckoned the Urban Arrow 'borrowed' his design of a double tubed 'cage' around the bottom bracket & chainring. Bike espionage at Eurobike? (Nick does freelance bike design for a few brands - R&M Birdy makeover was one of his. Used to come round shop and rode a Paper Bicycle with his dog Luna on front rack at first POP.) I had never really expected e-assist to take off - if only the Paper Bicycle had been electric. Once Bosch & Shimano got going with bottom bracket motors then everything changed.
    Gazelle shows what can be done to make a comfortable bike for everyone... but at a price.
    VanMoof do style + integration with finance type deals (Cowboy copy now spotted).

    Future bikes that people can afford? Decathlon worth watching...?

    Posted 1 year ago #

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