A couple of post from the Marchmont Road thread.
POSTED BY Kim
"Given that the cycle lanes in questing are sub 2m wide and that there is increasing evidence that narrow cycle lanes increase the risk to cyclist. Maybe that is no bad thing. If you want to know more, there are a couple of papers here and here. No cycle lane is safer than a sub standard cycle lane."
POSTED BY DdF
"Regarding the papers referenced by Kim. First, the Parkin paper does not show or claim to show that cycle lanes (of whatever width) 'increase the risk'. It shows that on 40 or 50mph roads (not 30mph) cars pass somewhat further out if there is no cycle lane. Parkin also mentions (can't remember if it's in this paper or elsewhere) that motorists are wary of crossing white lines - he is referring to the centre line of the road, but presumably equally the cycle lane line, in which case that plus could well balance or outweigh the minus of most cars passing you at say 2.0m rather than 2.1m.
The Warrington 'paper' really shows nothing. It is pictures picked out to support a case, but with no data or analysis. You can see how ridiculous that is by noting that the Warrington paper's pictures are wildly more alarmist than is shown by Parkin's research. Even given that the pictures have been chosen to support the case, personally I think I'd prefer the cycle lane in 2 of the 3 examples shown - certainly the one with no cycle lane and the white lorry bearing down on you from behind!
Another interesting point - a Napier Uni paper showed that motorists are far more likely to keep out of both bus and cycle lanes if they have a coloured surface. Neither of the above papers even state whether the lanes they studied had a coloured surface.
If anyone is interested enough, there's more on all this in various documents at http://www.spokes.org.uk - downloads - technical. Perhaps especially the 0909 paper, the 0710 one, and the Napier one at the end.
Dave
PS - Some cycle lanes are badly designed, some badly maintained, I totally agree with that!!
But overall it seems very likely that the widespread presence of onroad coloured lanes and ASLs is one of the main factors that brought about Edinburgh's increasing bike use over the last 10ish years, at a time when it was declining in most of Britain. Some of the evidence for this is on p7 of spokes bulletin 105."